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April 2023 Market Insights

2023-05-10

In April, the market continued the situation of strong expectations and weak reality in February and March. Despite the impressive performance of March's social zero data and financial data, various high-frequency data since April still show weak overall demand. Real estate sales have shown a significant decline compared to February and March, and the infrastructure industry chain is also not optimistic, driving the downward trend of the commodity futures market. In such an environment, the market as a whole is in a state of volatility, and there is no obvious main line. On the other hand, there is intense hype on topics such as AI, high interest rates, and medium to high valuation. We still adhere to the judgment at the beginning of the year, which is that this year is a good time for bottom-up investment, because the impact of policies on the macro economy will be the smallest in recent years; Enterprises themselves also have strong motivation to quickly recover from the epidemic and even further seize market opportunities.

The information provided to us in this year's annual and first quarter reports is still relatively limited due to the significant impact of the epidemic. However, in some pro cyclical sectors, we have identified some highly resilient companies. Although these companies are private in nature and are not currently in the market, we still pay high attention and look forward to new additions in the second half of the year.